| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | QABCDSTQQW/469BC5B | |||
| Repository | urlib.net/www/2022/01.28.13.27 | |||
| Last Update | 2022:01.28.13.27.10 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | urlib.net/www/2022/01.28.13.27.10 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2023:01.03.16.46.29 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0262729 | |||
| ISSN | 1932-6203 | |||
| Citation Key | IgawaToleAnjo:2022:ClChCo | |||
| Title | Climate change could reduce and spatially reconfigure cocoa cultivation in the Brazilian Amazon by 2050  | |||
| Year | 2022 | |||
| Month | Jan. | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 18 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 1792 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Igawa, Tassio Koiti 2 Toledo, Peter Mann de 3 Anjos, Luciano J. S. | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ46 | |||
| ORCID | 1 0000-0001-9974-0380 2 3 0000-0002-3270-6679 | |||
| Group | 1 2 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 tassio.igawa@gmail.com 2 peter.toledo@hotmail.com | |||
| Journal | Plos One | |||
| Volume | 17 | |||
| Number | 1 | |||
| Pages | e0262729 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A1_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS A1_SAÚDE_COLETIVA A1_QUÍMICA A1_ODONTOLOGIA A1_NUTRIÇÃO A1_MEDICINA_VETERINÁRIA A1_MEDICINA_III A1_MEDICINA_II A1_MEDICINA_I A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOGRAFIA A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_FARMÁCIA A1_ENGENHARIAS_III A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A1_ENFERMAGEM A1_EDUCAÇÃO_FÍSICA A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I A1_CIÊNCIA_DE_ALIMENTOS A1_CIÊNCIA_DA_COMPUTAÇÃO A1_BIOTECNOLOGIA A1_BIODIVERSIDADE A1_ADMINISTRAÇÃO,_CIÊNCIAS_CONTÁBEIS_E_TURISMO A2_PSICOLOGIA A2_PLANEJAMENTO_URBANO_E_REGIONAL_/_DEMOGRAFIA A2_MATERIAIS A2_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA A2_ENGENHARIAS_IV A2_ECONOMIA A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A2_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA B1_EDUCAÇÃO B3_SERVIÇO_SOCIAL B3_LETRAS_/_LINGUÍSTICA B3_CIÊNCIAS_SOCIAIS_APLICADAS_I B3_ANTROPOLOGIA_/_ARQUEOLOGIA C_ENGENHARIAS_II | |||
| History (UTC) | 2022-01-28 13:27:10 :: simone -> administrator :: 2022-01-28 13:27:11 :: administrator -> simone :: 2022 2022-01-28 13:27:27 :: simone -> administrator :: 2022 2023-01-03 16:46:29 :: administrator -> simone :: 2022 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Abstract | Cocoa is a plant with origins in northwestern South America with high relevance in the global economy. Evidence indicates that cocoa is sensitive to a dry climate, under which crop production is reduced. Projections for future climate change scenarios suggest a warmer and drier climate in the Amazon basin. In this paper, we quantify the potential effects in cocoa production due to its edaphoclimatic suitability changes to the Brazilian Amazon biome and account for regional differences in planning occupation territories. We modeled the suitability of cocoas geographical distribution using an ensemble of 10 correlative models that were run in the biomod2 library and projected to two future climate scenarios (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5) by 2050. Combining information on climate and soil suitability and installed infrastructure in the macro-regions of the Brazilian Amazon. We defined a zoning system to indicate how cocoa production may respond to climate change according to the current and future suitability model. Our results suggest that a reduction in precipitation and an increase in temperature may promote a reduction in the suitability of cocoa production in the Brazilian Amazon biome. In addition of the areas suitable for cocoa plantation, we found a 37.05% and 73.15% decrease in the areas suitable for intensification and expansion zones under RCP 4.5 and 8.5, respectively, compared with the current scenario. We conclude that there may be a need to expand land to cocoa production in the future, or else it will be necessary to plant a cocoa variety resistant to new climatic conditions. Besides, we recommend procedures to combat illegal deforestation to prevent the most critical climate change scenarios from occurring. © 2022 Igawa et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. | |||
| Area | CST | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Climate change could... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| data URL | http://urlib.net/ibi/QABCDSTQQW/469BC5B | |||
| zipped data URL | http://urlib.net/zip/QABCDSTQQW/469BC5B | |||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | journal.pone.0262729.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | allowpublisher allowfinaldraft | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.58.16 2 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA; SCOPUS. | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn keywords label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readpermission rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||